The India Points Devaluation Index

FY2019: what the programmes took

April 2018 – March 2019, closed and frozen. 13 dated changes to Indian card and loyalty programmes, each one sourced, each one on the tracker. This page is the arithmetic over them — and the ₹ line underneath, which is deliberately the more conservative of the two.

the denominators, and what this edition cannot see fold that back up

Method v1.0 · window 2018-04-01 to 2019-03-31 inclusive (2018-03-31 exclusive) · the method · the series

FY2019 · April 2018 – March 2019 · cut share

53.2%

6 cuts against 7 gains — 15.0 severity points against 13.2, at the weights this desk publishes. One cut every 60.8 days across the period's 365.

13

changes logged — the share's denominator

−₹1,000

on 10,000 points in each of 40 currencies

1

currency-move quantified (1 event · 0 re-mark)

5

of the changes were outright devaluations

  • Two denominators, and they are not interchangeable. The share counts events: one change is one event however many currencies it moved. The rupee line counts currency-moves against a basket of 40 currencies. Nothing on this page mixes them.
  • 124 currencies are excluded from this edition's basket because this desk had not indexed them when the period opened on 2018-04-01. They are left out and counted, never interpolated — a value we did not hold is not a value we can average.
  • The window is bounded by EFFECTIVE dates. A change announced inside this period but landing after it belongs to a later edition; the ones that did are listed at the bottom of this page so the gap is visible rather than silent.

What a point was worth, before and after

Every currency in this edition's basket whose ₹-per-point house value changed inside the window. "Event" means a dated tracker change moved it; "re-mark" means this desk re-priced it — an FX peg drifting, or a re-anchoring against consensus — with no single event behind it. Cards and routes are exposure CONTEXT, printed so you can re-weight by hand; the index itself weights every currency once.

Currency Open Close Change ₹ / 10,000 pts What moved it Exposure
Singapore Airlines KrisFlyer ₹1.38 ₹1.28 −7.2% −₹1,000 Jan 2019 event — KrisFlyer hikes premium-cabin award pricing roughly 10% across the board 2 cards

Every change in the window

All 13 of them, in the order they took effect, with the severity weight each contributed to the share above. Cuts and gains both — an index that counted only the cuts could only ever go one way, which is propaganda, not measurement. Each row links to its bracket on the tracker, where the source lives.

devaluation 5fee 1partner 3buff 1launch 3

2018-04-16 · Marriott · launch · major

Marriott reveals the plan to merge SPG, Marriott Rewards, Ritz-Carlton

2018-05-31 · Air India · devaluation · moderate

Air India privatisation attempt collapses — zero bidders

2018-06-30 · JetPrivilege · buff · major

JetPrivilege kills JPMiles expiry — first Indian program to do it

2018-06-30 · Etihad Guest · devaluation · major

Etihad Guest moves to demand-based dynamic award pricing

2018-07-02 · HDFC Bank · partner · minor

HDFC Diners 10X SmartBuy extended again, to September 2018

2018-08-18 · Marriott Bonvoy · partner · major

SPG and Marriott Rewards merge into one program

2018-08-22 · Jet Airways · partner · minor

Jet Airways-Bangkok Airways codeshare adds 9 new cities

2018-09-06 · Jet Airways · devaluation · major

Jet Airways pilots threaten revolt over unpaid salaries

2018-10-30 · American Express · fee · major

Amex Platinum Charge goes metal, fee jumps to ₹60,000

2019-01-18 · ICICI Bank · launch · moderate

ICICI Bank launches Emeralde, wedging above Sapphiro

2019-01-24 · Singapore Airlines KrisFlyer · devaluation · moderate

KrisFlyer hikes premium-cabin award pricing roughly 10% across the board

2019-01-25 · IHG Rewards Club · devaluation · major

IHG quietly reprices 700 hotels; the US bears the brunt

the other 1 changes in FY2019

2019-02-13 · Marriott Bonvoy · launch · moderate

Marriott Bonvoy launches as the unified loyalty brand

Announced here, landed later

Nothing in the archive was announced inside FY2019 with an effective date after it — or, more precisely, nothing whose announcement date a source actually stated. The desk records an announcement date only where a document carries one; on most rows it is honestly absent, so this list is a floor like everything else here.

How this edition was computed

The share. Every change in the window contributes its published severity weight — major 3, moderate 1.5, minor 0.6 — to the cut side or the gain side, using the same classifier the tracker's seismograph draws with. Cut share is cutLoad ÷ (cutLoad + gainLoad): here, 15.0 ÷ (15.0 + 13.2) = 53.2%.

The basket. 10,000 points of every currency this desk could value on the day the window opened — 40 of them, worth ₹4,04,500 at the open and ₹4,03,500 at the close. The basket is fixed at the open, so a currency indexed mid-period cannot move a number that is supposed to measure the market rather than our coverage.

The whole method is frozen and published at /devaluation-index/method, version 1.0 — including the two weighting schemes it refuses, why fees are in the share and out of the rupees, and the known limits of the classifier. The inputs are data/changelog.yaml and data/valuation-history.yaml, and the series is served as JSON.